Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive151AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE151
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

CA-25 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Raul Ruiz
Democratic party
96.1%

Raul Ruiz

Democratic party
96.1%
Joe Males
Republican party
3.9%

Joe Males

Republican party
3.9%
People are also trading
Series Image
California's 25th District margin of victory
Series Image
California 25 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
CA-25 House election: Joe Males vote percent
Series Image
CA-25 House election: Raul Ruiz vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the House?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
California Governor winner? (Person)
Series Image
Who will control the Senate?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

More California races

California Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonCA-11 House raceCA-22 House raceCA-45 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. Hamilton

More races

Kansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesKentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisAlaska Governor raceRhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. Fazio
CA-25 House winner?

Raul Ruiz

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Ruiz
Nov 3 ·D +20.4margin forecast
Males
$2,663 vol
Race Intel

CA-25 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentRaul Ruiz (D)Running for re-election

CA-25 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Joe MalesR
    $1.1M
    72%
    $1.1M raised·72% small donors
  • Raul RuizD
    $2.4M
    4.0%
    $2.4M raised·4.0% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-25 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +5.8%2020D +16.4%