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  1. House

CA-33 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Pete Aguilar
Democratic party
97.1%

Pete Aguilar

Democratic party
97.1%
Stephanie Vargas
Republican party
2.9%

Stephanie Vargas

Republican party
2.9%
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California's 33rd District margin of victory
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CA-33 House election: Pete Aguilar vote percent
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CA-33 House election: Stephanie Vargas vote percent
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More California and 2026 Midterm Races

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California Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonCA-11 House raceCA-22 House raceCA-45 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

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Alabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullKentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerAlaska Governor raceRhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. Fazio
CA-33 House winner?

Pete Aguilar

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Aguilar
Nov 3 ·D +24.2margin forecast
Vargas
$8,094 vol
Race Intel

CA-33 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentPete Aguilar (D)Running for re-election

CA-33 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Pete AguilarD
    $5.6M
    5.4%
    $5.6M raised·5.4% small donors
  • Stephanie VargasR
    —
    —
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-33 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +9.8%2020D +25.9%