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  1. House

PA-12 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Summer Lee
Democratic party
97%

Summer Lee

Democratic party
97%
James Hayes
Republican party
3%

James Hayes

Republican party
3%
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More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races

More Pennsylvania races

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Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollySouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Illinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderyOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. Casner
PA-12 House winner?

Summer Lee

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Lee
Nov 3 ·D +25.7margin forecast
Hayes
$78,660 vol
Race Intel

PA-12 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentSummer Lee (D)Running for re-election

PA-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • James HayesR
    $64.9K
    26%
    $64.9K raised·26% small donors
  • Summer LeeD
    $1.6M
    27%
    $1.6M raised·27% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +19.2%2020D +19.9%