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  1. House

PA-08 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Paige Cognetti
Democratic party
72%

Paige Cognetti

Democratic party
72%
Rob Bresnahan
Republican party
28%

Rob Bresnahan

Republican party
28%
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PA-08 House winner?

Paige Cognetti

Odds
74% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Cognetti
Nov 3 ·D +4.7margin forecast
Bresnahan
$205,142 vol
Race Intel

PA-08 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentRobert Bresnahan (R)Running for re-election

PA-08 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Paige CognettiD46.1%
    46.1%
    $7.1M
    14%
    $7.1M raised·14% small donors
  • Rob BresnahanR45.3%
    45.3%
    $6.2M
    12%
    $6.2M raised·12% small donors

Cognetti vs. Bresnahan Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageCognetti +0.846.1% vs. 45.3%
Kalshi oddsCognetti 72%Bresnahan 28% · $193.9K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-08 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +8.5%2020R +2.9%