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  1. House

PA-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike Kelly
Republican party
94%

Mike Kelly

Republican party
94%
Justin Wagner
Democratic party
6%

Justin Wagner

Democratic party
6%
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Alabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullKentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerAlaska Governor raceRhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. Fazio
PA-16 House winner?

Mike Kelly

Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Wagner
Nov 3 ·R +13.3margin forecast
Kelly
$16,857 vol
Race Intel

PA-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMike Kelly (R)Running for re-election

PA-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Justin WagnerD
    $222.6K
    32%
    $222.6K raised·32% small donors
  • Mike KellyR
    $1.2M
    0.2%
    $1.2M raised·0.2% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.8%2020R +20.6%