Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive217AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE217
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

SD-AL House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Marty Jackley
Republican party
95.7%

Marty Jackley

Republican party
95.7%

Nicole Gronli
Democratic party
4.3%

Nicole Gronli

Democratic party
4.3%

People are also trading
Series Image
South Dakota Senate winner?
Series Image
South Dakota margin of victory
Series Image
South Dakota at large House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
SD-AL House election: Marty Jackley vote percent
Series Image
SD-AL House election: Nikki Gronli vote percent
Series Image
South Dakota Governor winner?
Series Image
South Dakota Secretary of State winner?
Series Image
South Dakota Attorney General winner?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the House?

More South Dakota and 2026 Midterm Races

More South Dakota races

South Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. Ahlers

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollySouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Massachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesVermont Governor race: Scott vs. Janoo
SD-AL House winner?

Marty Jackley

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Gronli
Nov 3
Jackley
$13,172 vol
Race Intel

SD-AL House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDusty Johnson (R)Not seeking re-election

SD-AL House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Marty JackleyR
    $1.7M
    1.1%
    $1.7M raised·1.1% small donors
  • Nikki GronliD
    $387.2K
    34%
    $387.2K raised·34% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past SD-AL Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.2%2020R +26.2%