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  1. House

TN-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Charlie Hatcher
Republican party
89%

Charlie Hatcher

Republican party
89%

Chaz Molder
Democratic party
11%

Chaz Molder

Democratic party
11%

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More Tennessee and 2026 Midterm Races

More Tennessee races

Tennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawTennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. GreenTN-09 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Minnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. DemuthSouth Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsMichigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesOregon Governor race: Kotek vs. DrazanOklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonArkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. ShoffnerIllinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. BaileyColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxNew Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. Jones
TN-05 House winner?

Charlie Hatcher

Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Molder
Nov 3 ·R +9.6margin forecast
Hatcher
$71,859 vol
Race Intel

TN-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAndrew Ogles (R)Lost primary

TN-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Charlie HatcherR
    $1.7M
    1.5%
    $1.7M raised·1.5% small donors
  • Chaz MolderD
    $2.6M
    11%
    $2.6M raised·11% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TN-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +23.1%2020R +16.4%