Cash
Portfolio
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Midterms
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Predict
Live
104
Account
Search
Social
MARKETS
INVEST
LIVE
104
PRO
MORE
House
WA-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Amanda McKinney
Republican party
91.8%
▲ 2.8
Yes
90.3¢
No
9.9¢
Amanda McKinney
Republican party
91.8%
▲ 2.8
Yes
90.3¢
No
9.9¢
John Duresky
Democratic party
8.2%
▼ 2.8
Yes
8.9¢
No
91.9¢
John Duresky
Democratic party
8.2%
▼ 2.8
Yes
8.9¢
No
91.9¢
People are also trading
WA-03 House winner?
Washington's 4th District margin of victory
Washington 04 House General Election: voter turnout
WA-05 House winner?
WA-07 House winner?
WA-02 House winner?
WA-01 House winner?
WA-10 House winner?
WA-09 House winner?
Washington State House winner?
Show more
More Washington and 2026 Midterm Races
More Washington races
WA-03 House race
WA-05 House race
Control of Congress
Which party will win the Senate?
Which party will win the House?
Congress balance of power
Top races
Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton
Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers
Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins
Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa
Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted
Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek
South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews
Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall
Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly
Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy
More races
Arkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. Love
West Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson
Delaware Senate race: Coons vs. Katz
Illinois Senate race: Stratton vs. Tracy
Wyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. Byrd
Hawaii Governor race: Green vs. Cordery
Oregon Senate race: Merkley vs. Smith
Alabama Senate race: Moore vs. Wess
South Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. Ahlers
Idaho Governor race: Little vs. Pickens
Show more
Buy
Sell
Dollars
WA-04 House winner?
Amanda McKinney
YES 90.3¢
NO 9.9¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Duresky
Nov 3
·
R +12.1
margin forecast
McKinney
$38,802 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
WA-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Dan Newhouse (R)
Not seeking re-election
WA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Amanda McKinney
R
$1.3M
20%
$1.3M raised
·
20% small donors
John Duresky
D
$179K
28%
$179K raised
·
28% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past WA-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +20.6%
2020
R +17.0%