Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive174AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE174
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

WA-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Democratic party
90.9%
▼ 0.2

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Democratic party
90.9%
▼ 0.2
John Braun
Republican party
9.1%
▲ 0.2

John Braun

Republican party
9.1%
▲ 0.2
People are also trading
Series Image
Washington's 3rd District margin of victory
Series Image
Washington 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
WA-05 House winner?
Series Image
WA-09 House winner?
Series Image
WA-04 House winner?
Series Image
Washington State House winner?
Series Image
Washington State Senate winner?
Series Image
WA-03 House election: John Braun vote percent
Series Image
WA-03 House election: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vote percent
Series Image
Washington Supreme Court Position 3 winner?

More Washington and 2026 Midterm Races

More Washington races

WA-05 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxAlaska Governor raceKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. Deaton
WA-03 House winner?

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Odds
92% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Perez
Nov 3 ·D +9.5margin forecast
Braun
$198,690 vol
Race Intel

WA-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMarie Perez (D)Running for re-election

WA-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • John BraunR
    $3M
    9.3%
    $3M raised·9.3% small donors
  • Marie Gluesenkamp PerezD
    $6.3M
    4.4%
    $6.3M raised·4.4% small donors

Perez vs. Braun Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsPerez 91%Braun 9% · $190.1K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past WA-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +3.3%2020R +4.2%