Cash
Portfolio
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Midterms
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Predict
Live
94
Account
Search
Social
MARKETS
INVEST
LIVE
94
PRO
MORE
House
WA-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Michael Baumgartner
Republican party
83%
▼ 1
Yes
84¢
No
17¢
Michael Baumgartner
Republican party
83%
▼ 1
Yes
84¢
No
17¢
Carmela Conroy
Democratic party
17%
▲ 1
Yes
18¢
No
83¢
Carmela Conroy
Democratic party
17%
▲ 1
Yes
18¢
No
83¢
People are also trading
WA-03 House winner?
Washington's 5th District margin of victory
Washington 05 House General Election: voter turnout
WA-08 House winner?
WA-04 House winner?
WA-02 House winner?
WA-07 House winner?
WA-01 House winner?
WA-10 House winner?
WA-09 House winner?
Show more
More Washington and 2026 Midterm Races
More Washington races
WA-03 House race
Control of Congress
Which party will win the Senate?
Which party will win the House?
Congress balance of power
Top races
Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton
Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers
Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins
Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa
Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted
Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek
South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews
Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall
Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly
Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy
More races
Connecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. Fazio
Maryland Governor race: Moore vs. Cox
South Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. Johnson
Massachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. Deaton
New Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. Marker
Nebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. Walz
Oklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. Thomas
Colorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. Baisley
Virginia Senate race: Warner vs. Mizusawa
Rhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKay
Show more
Buy
Sell
Dollars
WA-05 House winner?
Michael Baumgartner
YES 84¢
NO 17¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
85% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Conroy
Nov 3
·
R +7.9
margin forecast
Baumgartner
$190,961 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
WA-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Michael Baumgartner (R)
Running for re-election
WA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Carmela Conroy
D
$396.2K
22%
$396.2K raised
·
22% small donors
Michael Baumgartner
R
$2.1M
11%
$2.1M raised
·
11% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past WA-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +10.7%
2020
R +10.0%