Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive109AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE109
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Senate

New Mexico Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Ben Ray Luján
Democratic party
98.9%
▲ 0.6

Ben Ray Luján

Democratic party
98.9%
▲ 0.6
Larry E. Marker
Republican party
1.1%
▼ 0.6

Larry E. Marker

Republican party
1.1%
▼ 0.6
People are also trading
Series Image
New Mexico Senate margin of victory
Series Image
New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
New Mexico Governor winner?
Series Image
NM-03 House winner?
Series Image
NM-02 House winner?
Series Image
NM-01 House winner?
Series Image
New Mexico State House winner?
Series Image
New Mexico Secretary of State winner?
Series Image
New Mexico Senate election: Ben Ray Luján vote percent
Series Image
New Mexico Senate election: Larry Marker vote percent

More New Mexico and 2026 Midterm Races

More New Mexico races

New Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. Hull

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

New York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyAlaska Senate raceNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonMassachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. Nixon
New Mexico Senate winner?

Ben Ray Luján

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Luján
Nov 3 ·D +20.7margin forecast
Marker
$137,007 vol
Race Intel

New Mexico Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBen Ray Lujan (D)Running for re-election

New Mexico Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ben Ray LujánD
    $5.6M
    21%
    $5.6M raised·21% small donors
  • Larry MarkerR
    $92K
    7.8%
    $92K raised·7.8% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past New Mexico Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +6.0%2020D +10.8%