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  1. Senate

Oklahoma Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2


Chance

Kevin Hern
Republican party
97.4%
▲ 0.3

Kevin Hern

Republican party
97.4%
▲ 0.3

N’Kiyla Thomas
Democratic party
2.6%
▼ 0.3

N’Kiyla Thomas

Democratic party
2.6%
▼ 0.3

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Control of Congress

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New York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyAlaska Senate raceNevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. Nixon
Oklahoma Senate winner?

Kevin Hern

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Thomas
Nov 3 ·R +24.9margin forecast
Hern
$76,448 vol
Race Intel

Oklahoma Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAlan Armstrong (R)Not seeking re-election

Oklahoma Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kevin HernR
    $10.8M
    2.0%
    $10.8M raised·2.0% small donors
  • N’Kiyla Jasmine ThomasD
    $107K
    59%
    $107K raised·59% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Oklahoma Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +34.3%2020R +33.1%