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House
ME-02 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Paul LePage
Republican party
57%
▼ 1
Yes
57¢
No
44¢
Paul LePage
Republican party
57%
▼ 1
Yes
57¢
No
44¢
Matt Dunlap
Democratic party
43%
▲ 1
Yes
44¢
No
57¢
Matt Dunlap
Democratic party
43%
▲ 1
Yes
44¢
No
57¢
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More Maine and 2026 Midterm Races
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
ME-02 House winner?
Paul LePage
YES 57¢
NO 44¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
59% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Dunlap
Nov 3
·
R +1.9
margin forecast
LePage
$234,136 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
ME-02 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Jared Golden (D)
Not seeking re-election
ME-02 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Paul LePage
R
49.0%
49.0%
$3.2M
6.2%
$3.2M raised
·
6.2% small donors
Matt Dunlap
D
47.0%
47.0%
$2.7M
35%
$2.7M raised
·
35% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past ME-02 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +9.0%
2020
R +6.1%