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  1. Senate
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Begins in 12 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
Democrats sweep
66%
▲ 1

Democrats sweep

66%
▲ 1
D-House, R-Senate
27%

D-House, R-Senate

27%
Republicans sweep
8.9%
▼ 0.3

Republicans sweep

8.9%
▼ 0.3
R-House, D-Senate
0.6%

R-House, D-Senate

0.6%

2026 Midterm Election Predictions

On November 3, 2026, voters choose all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Kalshi traders give a Democratic sweep of both chambers a 66% chance, a Democratic House with a Republican Senate 27%, and a Republican sweep 9%.

Follow control of each chamber and the races that decide it below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

West Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderySouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerIdaho Governor race: Little vs. Pickens
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

Odds
68% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
$48,755,095 vol