Cash
Portfolio
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Midterms
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Predict
Live
168
Account
Search
Social
MARKETS
PERPS
LIVE
168
PRO
MORE
House
AR-02 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
French Hill
Republican party
83%
Yes
83¢
No
18¢
French Hill
Republican party
83%
Yes
83¢
No
18¢
Chris Jones
Democratic party
17%
Yes
19¢
No
82¢
Chris Jones
Democratic party
17%
Yes
19¢
No
82¢
People are also trading
Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
Arkansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout
AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent
AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent
Texas Senate winner?
Which party will win the U.S. House?
California Governor winner? (Person)
Texas Governor winner?
Ohio Senate winner?
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Show more
More Arkansas and 2026 Midterm Races
More Arkansas races
Arkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. Shoffner
Arkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. Love
Control of Congress
Which party will win the Senate?
Which party will win the House?
Congress balance of power
Top races
Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton
Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins
Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers
Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted
Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek
New York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman
Kansas Senate race: Marshall vs. Hamilton
South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews
Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly
Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy
More races
New Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. Murphy
Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. Booker
Alaska Governor race
Kansas Governor race: Masterson vs. Holscher
New Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. Hull
Alabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. Jones
Louisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. Davis
New Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. Marker
Maine Governor race: Pingree vs. Charles
Rhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. Block
Show more
Buy
Sell
Dollars
AR-02 House winner?
French Hill
YES 83¢
NO 18¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
84% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Jones
Nov 3
·
R +5.8
margin forecast
Hill
$107,400 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
AR-02 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
J. Hill (R)
Running for re-election
AR-02 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Chris Jones
D
45.3%
45.3%
$1.8M
25%
$1.8M raised
·
25% small donors
French Hill
R
45.3%
45.3%
$5M
0.7%
$5M raised
·
0.7% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past AR-02 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +15.5%
2020
R +13.1%