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House
IL-16 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Darin LaHood
Republican party
96.9%
▲ 1.7
Yes
97¢
No
3.5¢
Darin LaHood
Republican party
96.9%
▲ 1.7
Yes
97¢
No
3.5¢
Paul Nolley
Democratic party
3.1%
▼ 1.7
Yes
3.8¢
No
97.2¢
Paul Nolley
Democratic party
3.1%
▼ 1.7
Yes
3.8¢
No
97.2¢
People are also trading
Illinois's 16th District margin of victory
Illinois 16 House General Election: voter turnout
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
IL-16 House winner?
Darin LaHood
YES 97¢
NO 3.5¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Nolley
Nov 3
·
R +17.6
margin forecast
LaHood
$42,876 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
IL-16 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Darin LaHood (R)
Running for re-election
IL-16 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Darin LaHood
R
$4.2M
2.3%
$4.2M raised
·
2.3% small donors
Paul Nolley
D
$415.7K
26%
$415.7K raised
·
26% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past IL-16 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +22.7%
2020
R +21.5%