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  1. House

PA-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike Kelly
Republican party
92.1%
▼ 1.9

Mike Kelly

Republican party
92.1%
▼ 1.9
Justin Wagner
Democratic party
7.9%
▲ 1.9

Justin Wagner

Democratic party
7.9%
▲ 1.9
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PA-16 House winner?

Mike Kelly

Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Wagner
Nov 3 ·R +13.9margin forecast
Kelly
$18,832 vol
Race Intel

PA-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMike Kelly (R)Running for re-election

PA-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Justin WagnerD
    $222.6K
    32%
    $222.6K raised·32% small donors
  • Mike KellyR
    $1.2M
    0.2%
    $1.2M raised·0.2% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.8%2020R +20.6%