Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive771AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE771
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. House

HI-02 House winner?

Live
Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Jill Tokuda
Democratic party
97%
▲ 0.2

Jill Tokuda

Democratic party
97%
▲ 0.2

Brenton Awa
Republican party
3%
▼ 0.2

Brenton Awa

Republican party
3%
▼ 0.2

People are also trading
Series Image
Hawaii 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory
Series Image
HI-02 House election: Brenton Awa vote percent
Series Image
HI-02 House election: Jill Tokuda vote percent
Series Image
Who will control the House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the Senate?
Series Image
Florida Governor winner?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
HI-02 House winner?

Jill Tokuda

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Tokuda
D +35.1margin forecast
Awa
Race Intel

HI-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJill Tokuda (D)Running for re-election

HI-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Brenton AwaR
    $129.3K
    11%
    $129.3K raised·11% small donors
  • Jill TokudaD
    $939.1K
    9.6%
    $939.1K raised·9.6% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past HI-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +21.6%2020D +29.5%

More Hawaii and 2026 Midterm Races

More Hawaii races

Hawaii Governor race: Green vs. Cordery

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

West Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. Casner