CA-23 House winner?

97.2% votes countedR +3.5

Resolves by winning party

443

AI Digest · Republican Jay Obernolte holds a firm lead in California's 23rd District

Not advice · 1d ago

Chance

50.8% · 108,006 votesRepublican party

97.8%

▼ 1.1

50.8% · 108,006 votesRepublican party

97.8%

▼ 1.1

49.2% · 104,728 votesDemocratic party

2.2%

▲ 1.1

49.2% · 104,728 votesDemocratic party

2.2%

▲ 1.1

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

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CA-23 House winner?

Jay Obernolte

Dollars

Odds

99% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

CA-23 House winner?

97.2% votes countedR +3.5

Resolves by winning party

443

Hodge104,728

Obernolte108,006

$410,292 vol

AI Digest · Republican Jay Obernolte holds a firm lead in California's 23rd District

Not advice · 1d ago

Chance

50.8% · 108,006 votesRepublican party

97.8%

▼ 1.1

50.8% · 108,006 votesRepublican party

97.8%

▼ 1.1

49.2% · 104,728 votesDemocratic party

2.2%

▲ 1.1

49.2% · 104,728 votesDemocratic party

2.2%

▲ 1.1

Race Intel

CA-23 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJay Obernolte (R)Running for re-election

CA-23 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Jay ObernolteR
$1.8M
0.1%
$1.8M raised·0.1% small donors
Tessa Lynn HodgeD
$122.5K
38%
$122.5K raised·38% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-23 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +19.4%2020R +12.1%

People are also trading

California's 23rd District margin of victory

California 23 House General Election: voter turnout

CA-23 House election: Jay Obernolte vote percent

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