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NC-03 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Smith vs. Murphy | Kalshi
House
NC-03 House winner?
Live
98.8% votes counted
Resolves by winning party
458
Combo
Chance
Raymond Smith Jr.
49.3% · 117,350 votes
Democratic party
75%
▼ 1
Yes
76¢
No
26¢
Raymond Smith Jr.
49.3% · 117,350 votes
Democratic party
75%
▼ 1
Yes
76¢
No
26¢
Greg Murphy
49.4% · 117,583 votes
Republican party
25%
▲ 1
Yes
25¢
No
76¢
Greg Murphy
49.4% · 117,583 votes
Republican party
25%
▲ 1
Yes
25¢
No
76¢
NC-03 House Margin of Victory
NC-03 House Voter Turnout
NC-03 House Vote Percent
Race called?
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Raymond Smith Jr.
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3.5% Interest
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Nov 3, 2027
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Smith
117,350
Murphy
117,583
$5,908,678 vol
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Race Intel
NC-03 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Gregory Murphy (R)
Running for re-election
NC-03 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Greg Murphy
R
$2.8M
1.1%
$2.8M raised
·
1.1% small donors
Raymond Smith Jr.
D
$223.1K
32%
$223.1K raised
·
32% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past NC-03 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +13.6%
2020
R +8.3%
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