NY-12 House winner?

Live

85.9% votes countedD +66.6

Resolves by winning party

458

Micah Lasher

77.2% · 193,614 votesDemocratic party

Yes

Micah Lasher

77.2% · 193,614 votesDemocratic party

Yes

Caroline Shinkle

20.0% · 50,212 votesRepublican party

Caroline Shinkle

20.0% · 50,212 votesRepublican party

People are also trading

New York's 12th District margin of victory

New York 12 House General Election: voter turnout

NY-17 House winner?

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

Micah Lasher

Dollars

Odds

0% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2026

NY-12 House winner?

Live

85.9% votes countedD +66.6

Resolves by winning party

458

Lasher193,614

Shinkle50,212

$57,656 vol

Micah Lasher

77.2% · 193,614 votesDemocratic party

Yes

Micah Lasher

77.2% · 193,614 votesDemocratic party

Yes

Caroline Shinkle

20.0% · 50,212 votesRepublican party

Caroline Shinkle

20.0% · 50,212 votesRepublican party

Race Intel

NY-12 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJerrold Nadler (D)Not seeking re-election

NY-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Caroline ShinkleR
$155.1K
15%
$155.1K raised·15% small donors
Micah LasherD
$3.3M
2.7%
$3.3M raised·2.7% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +63.6%2020D +71.4%

People are also trading

New York's 12th District margin of victory

New York 12 House General Election: voter turnout

NY-17 House winner?

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

Micah Lasher

Dollars

Odds

0% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2026

Race Intel

NY-12 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJerrold Nadler (D)Not seeking re-election

NY-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Caroline ShinkleR
$155.1K
15%
$155.1K raised·15% small donors
Micah LasherD
$3.3M
2.7%
$3.3M raised·2.7% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +63.6%2020D +71.4%

NY-12 House winner?

Micah Lasher

Caroline Shinkle

Micah Lasher

NY-12 House winner?

Micah Lasher

Caroline Shinkle

NY-12 House Race 2026

NY-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past NY-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

Control of Congress

Midterms forecast

Top races

More races

Micah Lasher

NY-12 House Race 2026

NY-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past NY-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

Control of Congress

Midterms forecast

Top races

More races

NY-12 House winner?

Micah Lasher

Caroline Shinkle

NY-12 House Voter Turnout

NY-12 House Vote Percent

Democrat Margin of Victory

Micah Lasher

NY-12 House winner?

Micah Lasher

Caroline Shinkle

NY-12 House Race 2026

NY-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past NY-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

NY-12 House Voter Turnout

NY-12 House Vote Percent

Democrat Margin of Victory

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

Control of Congress

Midterms forecast

Top races

More races

Micah Lasher

NY-12 House Race 2026

NY-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past NY-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

Control of Congress

Midterms forecast

Top races

More races