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NY-21 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Constantino vs. Gendebien | Kalshi
House
NY-21 House winner?
Live
95.7% votes counted
Resolves by winning party
458
Chance
Anthony Constantino
50.9% · 140,126 votes
Republican party
98.7%
Yes
98.6¢
No
2.3¢
Anthony Constantino
50.9% · 140,126 votes
Republican party
98.7%
Yes
98.6¢
No
2.3¢
Blake Gendebien
48.8% · 134,399 votes
Democratic party
1.3%
Yes
2.1¢
No
98.7¢
Blake Gendebien
48.8% · 134,399 votes
Democratic party
1.3%
Yes
2.1¢
No
98.7¢
NY-21 House Margin of Victory
NY-21 House Voter Turnout
NY-21 House Vote Percent
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New York's 21st District margin of victory
New York's 21st District margin of victory
New York 21 House General Election: voter turnout
NY-17 House winner?
New York State Senate winner?
New York State Assembly winner?
NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percent
NY-21 House election: Anthony Constantino vote percent
NY-21 House election: Christopher Schmidt vote percent
NY-21 House election: Michael Metzgier vote percent
Show more
General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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Anthony Constantino
YES --
NO --
3.5% Interest
Dollars
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Odds
0% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Gendebien
134,399
Constantino
140,126
$661,855 vol
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Race Intel
NY-21 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Elise Stefanik (R)
Not seeking re-election
NY-21 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Anthony Constantino
R
$9.5M
0.0%
$9.5M raised
·
0.0% small donors
Blake Gendebien
D
$5.5M
47%
$5.5M raised
·
47% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past NY-21 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +20.7%
2020
R +15.7%
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