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AR-04 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Westerman vs. Russell | Kalshi

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House

AR-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Russell

Nov 3 ·R +33.6margin forecast

Westerman

$9,297 vol

Chance

Bruce Westerman

Republican party

97.6%

Bruce Westerman

Republican party

97.6%

James Russell

Democratic party

2.4%

James Russell

Democratic party

2.4%

Race Intel

AR-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentBruce Westerman (R)Running for re-election

AR-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Bruce WestermanR
$3M
1.3%
$3M raised·1.3% small donors
James RussellD
$5,853
30%
$5,853 raised·30% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AR-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +39.9%2020R +35.2%

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Arkansas's 4th District margin of victory

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Arkansas 04 House General Election: voter turnout

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AR-04 House election: Bruce Westerman vote percent

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AR-04 House election: James Russell vote percent

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Texas Senate winner?

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Who will control the House?

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Texas Governor winner?

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Kansas Senate winner?

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Who will control the Senate?

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California Governor winner? (Person)

More Arkansas and 2026 Midterm Races

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Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?

AR-04 House winner?

James Russell

Dollars$

Odds

4% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

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