AZ-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Sterbinsky

Nov 3 ·R +18.6margin forecast

Gosar

$18,772 vol

Chance

Paul Gosar

Republican party

97%

▲ 0.8

Paul Gosar

Republican party

97%

▲ 0.8

Dani Sterbinsky

Democratic party

▼ 0.8

Dani Sterbinsky

Democratic party

▼ 0.8

Race Intel

AZ-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentPaul Gosar (R)Running for re-election

AZ-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Dani SterbinskyD
$437K
86%
$437K raised·86% small donors
Paul GosarR
$580K
21%
$580K raised·21% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AZ-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +31.0%2020R +25.8%

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Control of Congress

AZ-09 House winner?

Paul Gosar

Dollars

Odds

98% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

AZ-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Sterbinsky

Nov 3 ·R +18.6margin forecast

Gosar

$18,772 vol

Chance

Paul Gosar

Republican party

97%

▲ 0.8

Paul Gosar

Republican party

97%

▲ 0.8

Dani Sterbinsky

Democratic party

▼ 0.8

Dani Sterbinsky

Democratic party

▼ 0.8

Race Intel

AZ-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentPaul Gosar (R)Running for re-election

AZ-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Dani SterbinskyD
$437K
86%
$437K raised·86% small donors
Paul GosarR
$580K
21%
$580K raised·21% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.