CA-24 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Carbajal

Nov 3 ·D +29.5margin forecast

Smith

$30,877 vol

Chance

Salud Carbajal

Democratic party

98.5%

▼ 0.2

Salud Carbajal

Democratic party

98.5%

▼ 0.2

Bob Smith

Republican party

1.5%

▲ 0.2

Bob Smith

Republican party

1.5%

▲ 0.2

Race Intel

CA-24 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentSalud Carbajal (D)Running for re-election

CA-24 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Bob SmithR
$203.3K
16%
$203.3K raised·16% small donors
Salud CarbajalD
$1.9M
1.6%
$1.9M raised·1.6% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-24 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +25.0%2020D +29.0%

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CA-24 House winner?

Bob Smith

Dollars

Odds

2% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

CA-24 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Carbajal

Nov 3 ·D +29.5margin forecast

Smith

$30,877 vol

Chance

Salud Carbajal

Democratic party

98.5%

▼ 0.2

Salud Carbajal

Democratic party

98.5%

▼ 0.2

Bob Smith

Republican party

1.5%

▲ 0.2

Bob Smith

Republican party

1.5%

▲ 0.2

Race Intel

CA-24 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentSalud Carbajal (D)Running for re-election

CA-24 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Bob SmithR
$203.3K
16%
$203.3K raised·16% small donors
Salud CarbajalD
$1.9M
1.6%
$1.9M raised·1.6% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.