CA-33 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Aguilar

Nov 3 ·D +24.2margin forecast

Vargas

$8,094 vol

Chance

Pete Aguilar

Democratic party

97.1%

Pete Aguilar

Democratic party

97.1%

Stephanie Vargas

Republican party

2.9%

Stephanie Vargas

Republican party

2.9%

Race Intel

CA-33 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentPete Aguilar (D)Running for re-election

CA-33 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Pete AguilarD
$5.6M
5.4%
$5.6M raised·5.4% small donors
Stephanie VargasR
—
—

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-33 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +9.8%2020D +25.9%

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CA-33 House winner?

Pete Aguilar

Dollars

Odds

98% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

CA-33 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Aguilar

Nov 3 ·D +24.2margin forecast

Vargas

$8,094 vol

Chance

Pete Aguilar

Democratic party

97.1%

Pete Aguilar

Democratic party

97.1%

Stephanie Vargas

Republican party

2.9%

Stephanie Vargas

Republican party

2.9%

Race Intel

CA-33 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentPete Aguilar (D)Running for re-election

CA-33 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Pete AguilarD
$5.6M
5.4%
$5.6M raised·5.4% small donors
Stephanie VargasR
—
—

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.