CA-51 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Jacobs

Nov 3 ·D +29.0margin forecast

Cabrera

$3,192 vol

Chance

Sara Jacobs

Democratic party

98.7%

▲ 0.5

Sara Jacobs

Democratic party

98.7%

▲ 0.5

Ricardo Cabrera

Republican party

1.3%

▼ 0.5

Ricardo Cabrera

Republican party

1.3%

▼ 0.5

Race Intel

CA-51 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentSara Jacobs (D)Running for re-election

CA-51 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Ricardo CabreraR
—
—
Sara JacobsD
$1.8M
9.9%
$1.8M raised·9.9% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-51 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +18.2%2020D +22.8%

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CA-51 House winner?

Sara Jacobs

Dollars

Odds

99% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

CA-51 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Jacobs

Nov 3 ·D +29.0margin forecast

Cabrera

$3,192 vol

Chance

Sara Jacobs

Democratic party

98.7%

▲ 0.5

Sara Jacobs

Democratic party

98.7%

▲ 0.5

Ricardo Cabrera

Republican party

1.3%

▼ 0.5

Ricardo Cabrera

Republican party

1.3%

▼ 0.5

Race Intel

CA-51 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentSara Jacobs (D)Running for re-election

CA-51 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Ricardo CabreraR
—
—
Sara JacobsD
$1.8M
9.9%
$1.8M raised·9.9% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.