FL-19 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Arias

Nov 3 ·R +19.1margin forecast

Schwartzel

$4,519 vol

Chance

Jim Schwartzel

Republican party

95.1%

Jim Schwartzel

Republican party

95.1%

Victor Arias

Democratic party

4.9%

Victor Arias

Democratic party

4.9%

Race Intel

FL-19 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentByron Donalds (R)Not seeking re-election

FL-19 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Jim SchwartzelR
$2.1M
0.3%
$2.1M raised·0.3% small donors
Victor AriasD
$70K
13%
$70K raised·13% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-19 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +30.1%2020R +22.0%

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FL-19 House winner?

Jim Schwartzel

Dollars

Odds

97% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

FL-19 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Arias

Nov 3 ·R +19.1margin forecast

Schwartzel

$4,519 vol

Chance

Jim Schwartzel

Republican party

95.1%

Jim Schwartzel

Republican party

95.1%

Victor Arias

Democratic party

4.9%

Victor Arias

Democratic party

4.9%

Race Intel

FL-19 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentByron Donalds (R)Not seeking re-election

FL-19 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Jim SchwartzelR
$2.1M
0.3%
$2.1M raised·0.3% small donors
Victor AriasD
$70K
13%
$70K raised·13% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.