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ID-02 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Simpson vs. Gilbreath | Kalshi

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House

ID-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Gilbreath

Nov 3 ·R +18.2margin forecast

Simpson

$11,223 vol

Chance

Mike Simpson

Republican party

94.7%

Mike Simpson

Republican party

94.7%

Elinor Gilbreath

Democratic party

5.3%

Elinor Gilbreath

Democratic party

5.3%

Race Intel

ID-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentMichael Simpson (R)Running for re-election

ID-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Elinor GilbreathD
$161.2K
20%
$161.2K raised·20% small donors
Mike SimpsonR
$1.3M
0.2%
$1.3M raised·0.2% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past ID-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +26.7%2020R +22.9%

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ID-02 House election: Mike Simpson vote percent

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Texas Senate winner?

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Which party will win the Senate?

ID-02 House winner?

Elinor Gilbreath

Dollars$

Odds

4% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

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