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MA-09 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Keating vs. MacAllister | Kalshi

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House

MA-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Keating

Nov 3 ·D +24.4margin forecast

MacAllister

$5,086 vol

Chance

Bill Keating

Democratic party

96.5%

▲ 3.2

Bill Keating

Democratic party

96.5%

▲ 3.2

Tyler MacAllister

Republican party

3.5%

▼ 3.2

Tyler MacAllister

Republican party

3.5%

▼ 3.2

Race Intel

MA-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentWilliam Keating (D)Running for re-election

MA-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Bill KeatingD
$534.9K
10.0%
$534.9K raised·10.0% small donors
Tyler MacAllisterR
$212.9K
15%
$212.9K raised·15% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MA-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +10.7%2020D +18.2%

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MA-09 House election: Bill Keating vote percent

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MA-09 House election: Tyler MacAllister vote percent

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Which party will win the Senate?

MA-09 House winner?

Bill Keating

Dollars$

Odds

99% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

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