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MO-04 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Alford vs. Herrera | Kalshi

Series Image

House

MO-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Herrera

Nov 3 ·R +29.9margin forecast

Alford

$38,622 vol

Chance

Mark Alford

Republican party

96.3%

Mark Alford

Republican party

96.3%

Jordan Herrera

Democratic party

3.7%

Jordan Herrera

Democratic party

3.7%

Race Intel

MO-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentMark Alford (R)Running for re-election

MO-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Jordan HerreraD
$41.7K
37%
$41.7K raised·37% small donors
Mark AlfordR
$1.6M
1.1%
$1.6M raised·1.1% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MO-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +21.2%2020R +18.8%

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Which party will win the Senate?

MO-04 House winner?

Mark Alford

Dollars$

Odds

98% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

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