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MO-06 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Stigall vs. Smead | Kalshi

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House

MO-06 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Smead

Nov 3 ·R +27.8margin forecast

Stigall

$36,848 vol

Chance

Chris Stigall

Republican party

95.6%

▼ 0.3

Chris Stigall

Republican party

95.6%

▼ 0.3

Josh Smead

Democratic party

4.4%

▲ 0.3

Josh Smead

Democratic party

4.4%

▲ 0.3

Race Intel

MO-06 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentSam Graves (R)Not seeking re-election

MO-06 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Chris StigallR
$969K
3.0%
$969K raised·3.0% small donors
Josh SmeadD
$71.9K
44%
$71.9K raised·44% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MO-06 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +26.6%2020R +24.9%

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Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?

MO-06 House winner?

Chris Stigall

Dollars$

Odds

97% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

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