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NC-03 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Murphy vs. Smith | Kalshi

Series Image

House

NC-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Smith

Nov 3

Murphy

$739,124 vol

Chance

Greg Murphy

Republican party

60%

▲ 1

Greg Murphy

Republican party

60%

▲ 1

Raymond Smith Jr.

Democratic party

40%

▼ 1

Raymond Smith Jr.

Democratic party

40%

▼ 1

Race Intel

NC-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentGregory Murphy (R)Running for re-election

NC-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Greg MurphyR
$2.8M
1.1%
$2.8M raised·1.1% small donors
Raymond Smith Jr.D
$223.1K
32%
$223.1K raised·32% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NC-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.6%2020R +8.3%

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Nov 3, 2027

$0

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