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NM-01 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Stansbury vs. Okpareke | Kalshi

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House

NM-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Stansbury

Nov 3 ·D +23.3margin forecast

Okpareke

$16,296 vol

Chance

Melanie Stansbury

Democratic party

95.8%

Melanie Stansbury

Democratic party

95.8%

Didi Okpareke

Republican party

4.2%

Didi Okpareke

Republican party

4.2%

Race Intel

NM-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentMelanie Stansbury (D)Running for re-election

NM-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Didi OkparekeR
$100.3K
15%
$100.3K raised·15% small donors
Melanie StansburyD
$1.7M
34%
$1.7M raised·34% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NM-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +12.9%2020D +14.4%

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Melanie Stansbury

Dollars$

Odds

97% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

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