PA-16 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike Kelly
Republican party
94%
Mike Kelly
Republican party
94%
Justin Wagner
Democratic party
6%
Justin Wagner
Democratic party
6%
Race Intel
PA-16 House Race 2026
ElectionGeneral election
IncumbentMike Kelly (R)Running for re-election
PA-16 House Candidates and Fundraising
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
- Justin WagnerD$222.6K32%$222.6K raised·32% small donors
- Mike KellyR$1.2M0.2%$1.2M raised·0.2% small donors
Past PA-16 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024R +22.8%2020R +20.6%
More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races
PA-16 House winner?
Justin Wagner
Odds
7% chanceMax payout
Nov 3, 2027