PA-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

$16,853 vol

Chance

Mike Kelly

Republican party

94%

Mike Kelly

Republican party

94%

Justin Wagner

Democratic party

Justin Wagner

Democratic party

People are also trading

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

Pennsylvania's 16th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania 16 House General Election: voter turnout

More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races

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Pennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. Garrity PA-01 House race PA-08 House race PA-07 House race

PA-16 House winner?

Mike Kelly

Dollars

Odds

95% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

PA-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Wagner

Nov 3 ·R +13.3margin forecast

Kelly

$16,853 vol

Chance

Mike Kelly

Republican party

94%

Mike Kelly

Republican party

94%

Justin Wagner

Democratic party

Justin Wagner

Democratic party

Race Intel

PA-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentMike Kelly (R)Running for re-election

PA-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Justin WagnerD
$222.6K
32%
$222.6K raised·32% small donors
Mike KellyR
$1.2M
0.2%
$1.2M raised·0.2% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.8%2020R +20.6%

People are also trading

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

Pennsylvania's 16th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania 16 House General Election: voter turnout

More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races

More Pennsylvania races

Pennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. Garrity PA-01 House race PA-08 House race PA-07 House race

PA-16 House winner?

Mike Kelly

Dollars

Odds

95% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

Race Intel

PA-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentMike Kelly (R)Running for re-election

PA-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Justin WagnerD
$222.6K
32%
$222.6K raised·32% small donors
Mike KellyR
$1.2M
0.2%
$1.2M raised·0.2% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.8%2020R +20.6%

PA-16 House winner?

Mike Kelly

Justin Wagner

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Mike Kelly

PA-16 House winner?

Mike Kelly

Justin Wagner

PA-16 House Race 2026

PA-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past PA-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

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PA-16 House Race 2026

PA-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

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