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SD-AL House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Jackley vs. Gronli | Kalshi

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House

SD-AL House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Gronli

Nov 3

Jackley

$10,833 vol

Chance

Marty Jackley

Republican party

95.7%

▼ 1

Marty Jackley

Republican party

95.7%

▼ 1

Nicole Gronli

Democratic party

4.3%

▲ 1

Nicole Gronli

Democratic party

4.3%

▲ 1

Race Intel

SD-AL House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentDusty Johnson (R)Not seeking re-election

SD-AL House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Marty JackleyR
$1.7M
1.1%
$1.7M raised·1.1% small donors
Nikki GronliD
$387.2K
34%
$387.2K raised·34% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past SD-AL Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.2%2020R +26.2%

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Marty Jackley

Dollars$

Odds

97% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

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