VA-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Chance

John McGuire

Republican party

59%

▲ 1

John McGuire

Republican party

59%

▲ 1

Tom Perriello

Democratic party

41%

▼ 1

Tom Perriello

Democratic party

41%

▼ 1

People are also trading

Virginia Senate winner?

Virginia's 5th District margin of victory

Virginia 05 House General Election: voter turnout

More Virginia and 2026 Midterm Races

More Virginia races

Virginia Senate race: Warner vs. Mizusawa VA-01 House race VA-02 House race VA-06 House race

VA-05 House winner?

John McGuire

Dollars

Odds

62% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

VA-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Perriello

Nov 3 ·R +1.6margin forecast

McGuire

Chance

John McGuire

Republican party

59%

▲ 1

John McGuire

Republican party

59%

▲ 1

Tom Perriello

Democratic party

41%

▼ 1

Tom Perriello

Democratic party

41%

▼ 1

Race Intel

VA-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJohn McGuire (R)Running for re-election

VA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

John McGuireR
$2.2M
23%
$2.2M raised·23% small donors
Tom PerrielloD
$2.1M
9.9%
$2.1M raised·9.9% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past VA-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +12.2%2020R +8.3%

People are also trading

Virginia Senate winner?

Virginia's 5th District margin of victory

Virginia 05 House General Election: voter turnout

More Virginia and 2026 Midterm Races

More Virginia races

Virginia Senate race: Warner vs. Mizusawa VA-01 House race VA-02 House race VA-06 House race

VA-05 House winner?

John McGuire

Dollars

Odds

62% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

Race Intel

VA-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJohn McGuire (R)Running for re-election

VA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

John McGuireR
$2.2M
23%
$2.2M raised·23% small donors
Tom PerrielloD
$2.1M
9.9%
$2.1M raised·9.9% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past VA-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +12.2%2020R +8.3%

VA-05 House winner?

John McGuire

Tom Perriello

More Virginia and 2026 Midterm Races

More Virginia races

John McGuire

VA-05 House winner?

John McGuire

Tom Perriello

VA-05 House Race 2026

VA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past VA-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

More Virginia and 2026 Midterm Races

More Virginia races

John McGuire

VA-05 House Race 2026

VA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past VA-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

Control of Congress

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