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WA-04 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: McKinney vs. Duresky | Kalshi

Series Image

House

WA-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

$38,802 vol

Chance

Amanda McKinney

Republican party

91.8%

▲ 2.8

Amanda McKinney

Republican party

91.8%

▲ 2.8

John Duresky

Democratic party

8.2%

▼ 2.8

John Duresky

Democratic party

8.2%

▼ 2.8

Race Intel

WA-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentDan Newhouse (R)Not seeking re-election

WA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Amanda McKinneyR
$1.3M
20%
$1.3M raised·20% small donors
John DureskyD
$179K
28%
$179K raised·28% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past WA-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +20.6%2020R +17.0%

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John Duresky

Dollars$

Odds

9% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Duresky

Nov 3 ·R +12.1margin forecast

McKinney

Which party will win the House?

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