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  1. House

IN-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Jim Baird
Republican party
94%

Jim Baird

Republican party
94%
Drew Cox
Democratic party
6%

Drew Cox

Democratic party
6%
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IN-04 House election: Jim Baird vote percent
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More Indiana and 2026 Midterm Races

More Indiana races

IN-05 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

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IN-04 House winner?

Jim Baird

Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Cox
Nov 3 ·R +24.0margin forecast
Baird
$11,424 vol
Race Intel

IN-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJames Baird (R)Running for re-election

IN-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Drew CoxD
    $54.1K
    35%
    $54.1K raised·35% small donors
  • Jim BairdR
    $358.3K
    19%
    $358.3K raised·19% small donors

Baird vs. Cox Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsBaird 94%Cox 6% · $7,610 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past IN-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.7%2020R +29.1%