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  1. House

MO-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ann Wagner
Republican party
76%
▲ 1

Ann Wagner

Republican party
76%
▲ 1
Fred Wellman
Democratic party
24%
▼ 1

Fred Wellman

Democratic party
24%
▼ 1
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MO-02 House election: Ann Wagner vote percent
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MO-02 House election: Fred Wellman vote percent

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MO-02 House winner?

Ann Wagner

Odds
78% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Wellman
Nov 3 ·R +4.1margin forecast
Wagner
$123,876 vol
Race Intel

MO-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAnn Wagner (R)Running for re-election

MO-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ann WagnerR
    $3.5M
    18%
    $3.5M raised·18% small donors
  • Fred WellmanD
    $1.2M
    44%
    $1.2M raised·44% small donors

Wagner vs. Wellman Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsWagner 76%Wellman 24% · $112.6K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MO-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +11.4%2020R +11.1%