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  1. House

OK-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Mark Tedford
Republican party
98%

Mark Tedford

Republican party
98%

John Croisant
Democratic party
2%

John Croisant

Democratic party
2%

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More Oklahoma and 2026 Midterm Races

More Oklahoma races

Oklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. Thomas

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

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Nevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoMassachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth
OK-01 House winner?

Mark Tedford

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Croisant
Nov 3 ·R +12.8margin forecast
Tedford
$16,447 vol
Race Intel

OK-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentKevin Hern (R)Not seeking re-election

OK-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • John CroisantD
    $207.7K
    28%
    $207.7K raised·28% small donors
  • Mark TedfordR
    $2.4M
    0.3%
    $2.4M raised·0.3% small donors

Tedford vs. Croisant Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsTedford 98%Croisant 2% · $7,101 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past OK-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +21.5%2020R +21.4%