Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive142AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE142
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

NJ-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Herb Conaway
Democratic party
96.5%

Herb Conaway

Democratic party
96.5%

Michael McGuire
Republican party
3.5%

Michael McGuire

Republican party
3.5%

People are also trading
Series Image
New Jersey Senate winner?
Series Image
New Jersey's 3rd District margin of victory
Series Image
New Jersey 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
NJ-02 House winner?
Series Image
NJ-07 House winner?
Series Image
NJ-11 House winner?
Series Image
NJ-05 House winner?
Series Image
NJ-06 House winner?
Series Image
How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey?
Series Image
NJ-03 House election: Herb Conaway vote percent

More New Jersey and 2026 Midterm Races

More New Jersey races

New Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyNJ-07 House raceNJ-02 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Massachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonMaryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson
NJ-03 House winner?

Herb Conaway

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Conaway
Nov 3 ·D +24.6margin forecast
McGuire
$7,067 vol
Race Intel

NJ-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentHerbert Conaway (D)Running for re-election

NJ-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Herb ConawayD
    $1.1M
    6.4%
    $1.1M raised·6.4% small donors
  • Michael McGuireR
    $210.5K
    3.5%
    $210.5K raised·3.5% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NJ-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +8.4%2020D +14.0%