Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive145AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE145
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

PA-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Madeleine Dean
Democratic party
95.4%

Madeleine Dean

Democratic party
95.4%
Aurora Stuski
Republican party
4.6%

Aurora Stuski

Republican party
4.6%
People are also trading
Series Image
Pennsylvania Governor winner?
Series Image
Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory
Series Image
Pennsylvania 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
PA-01 House winner?
Series Image
PA-10 House winner?
Series Image
PA-07 House winner?
Series Image
PA-09 House winner?
Series Image
Pennsylvania State Senate winner?
Series Image
PA-15 House winner?
Series Image
PA-08 House winner?

More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races

More Pennsylvania races

Pennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityPA-07 House racePA-01 House racePA-08 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Massachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonMaryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson
PA-04 House winner?

Madeleine Dean

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Dean
Nov 3 ·D +23.4margin forecast
Stuski
$6,383 vol
Race Intel

PA-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMadeleine Dean (D)Running for re-election

PA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Aurora StuskiR
    $8,800
    35%
    $8,800 raised·35% small donors
  • Madeleine DeanD
    $1.9M
    12%
    $1.9M raised·12% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +15.8%2020D +18.9%