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  1. House

HI-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Ed Case
Democratic party
97.3%

Ed Case

Democratic party
97.3%
Adriel Lam
Republican party
2.7%

Adriel Lam

Republican party
2.7%

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Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory
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HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent
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HI-01 House election: Adriel Lam vote percent
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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
HI-01 House winner?

Ed Case

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Case
Nov 3 ·D +44.0margin forecast
Lam
$9,080 vol
Race Intel

HI-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentEd Case (D)Running for re-election

HI-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Adriel LamR
    —
    —
  • Ed CaseD
    $1.3M
    1.5%
    $1.3M raised·1.5% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past HI-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +24.7%2020D +29.4%

More Hawaii and 2026 Midterm Races

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Midterms forecast

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