Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive160AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE160
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. House

MS-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Michael Guest
Republican party
98.1%
▼ 0.3

Michael Guest

Republican party
98.1%
▼ 0.3
Michael Chiaradio
Democratic party
1.9%
▲ 0.3

Michael Chiaradio

Democratic party
1.9%
▲ 0.3

People are also trading
Series Image
Mississippi Senate winner?
Series Image
Mississippi's 3rd District margin of victory
Series Image
Mississippi 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
MS-01 House winner?
Series Image
MS-02 House winner?
Series Image
MS-04 House winner?
Series Image
MS-03 House election: Michael Chiaradio vote percent
Series Image
MS-03 House election: Michael Guest vote percent
Series Image
Who will control the House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
MS-03 House winner?

Michael Guest

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Chiaradio
Nov 3 ·R +21.0margin forecast
Guest
$5,179 vol
Race Intel

MS-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMichael Guest (R)Running for re-election

MS-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Michael ChiaradioD
    $208.2K
    42%
    $208.2K raised·42% small donors
  • Michael GuestR
    $1M
    0.7%
    $1M raised·0.7% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MS-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.2%2020R +24.3%

More Mississippi and 2026 Midterm Races

More Mississippi races

Mississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. Colom

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Turek vs. HinsonKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Delaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderyAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. Casner