Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive143AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE143
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

TX-22 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Trever Nehls
Republican party
96.6%
▲ 2.2

Trever Nehls

Republican party
96.6%
▲ 2.2
Marquette Greene-Scott
Democratic party
3.4%
▼ 2.2

Marquette Greene-Scott

Democratic party
3.4%
▼ 2.2
People are also trading
Series Image
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Series Image
Texas's 22nd District margin of victory
Series Image
Texas 22 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
TX-23 House winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Series Image
TX-35 House winner?
Series Image
TX-15 House winner?
Series Image
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
Series Image
Texas State House winner?

More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaTX-15 House raceTX-23 House raceTX-35 House raceTX-28 House raceTX-34 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerAlaska Governor raceNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesRhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. Deaton
TX-22 House winner?

Trever Nehls

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Greene-Scott
Nov 3 ·R +12.6margin forecast
Nehls
$6,474 vol
Race Intel

TX-22 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTroy Nehls (R)Not seeking re-election

TX-22 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Marquette Greene-ScottD
    $63.4K
    39%
    $63.4K raised·39% small donors
  • Trever NehlsR
    $311.4K
    0.8%
    $311.4K raised·0.8% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-22 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.1%2020R +17.2%