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House
WA-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Michael Baumgartner
Republican party
85%
Yes
86¢
No
15¢
Michael Baumgartner
Republican party
85%
Yes
86¢
No
15¢
Carmela Conroy
Democratic party
15%
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
Carmela Conroy
Democratic party
15%
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
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WA-05 House election: Carmela Conroy vote percent
WA-05 House election: Michael Baumgartner vote percent
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Dollars
WA-05 House winner?
Michael Baumgartner
YES 86¢
NO 15¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
87% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Conroy
Nov 3
·
R +8.8
margin forecast
Baumgartner
$163,130 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
WA-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Michael Baumgartner (R)
Running for re-election
WA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Carmela Conroy
D
$396.2K
22%
$396.2K raised
·
22% small donors
Michael Baumgartner
R
$2.1M
11%
$2.1M raised
·
11% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past WA-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +10.7%
2020
R +10.0%