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Michigan Senate Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: El-Sayed vs. Rogers | Kalshi

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Senate

Michigan Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party

Chance

Abdul El-Sayed

Democratic party

78%

▲ 5

Abdul El-Sayed

Democratic party

78%

▲ 5

Mike Rogers

Republican party

22%

▼ 5

Mike Rogers

Republican party

22%

▼ 5

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Michigan Senate margin of victory

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Michigan Senate: margin of victory

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Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

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Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

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Michigan Senate margin of victory

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Michigan Governor-Senate combo

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Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the polls?

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Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

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Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?

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When will AP call the Michigan Senate election?

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

Michigan Senate winner?

Abdul El-Sayed

Dollars$

Odds

24% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

El-Sayed

Nov 3 ·D +4.7margin forecast

Rogers

$29,098,955 vol

Race Intel

Michigan Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentGary Peters (D)Not seeking re-election

Michigan Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors

Abdul El-SayedD49.7%
49.7%
$14.5M
29%
$14.5M raised·29% small donors
Mike RogersR44.8%
44.8%
$20.5M
20%
$20.5M raised·20% small donors

Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Michigan Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +1.4%2020D +2.8%

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