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  1. Senate

Michigan Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Combo
Chance
Abdul El-Sayed
Democratic party
81%
▲ 3

Abdul El-Sayed

Democratic party
81%
▲ 3
Mike Rogers
Republican party
19%
▼ 3

Mike Rogers

Republican party
19%
▼ 3

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Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the polls?
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Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
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Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?
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When will AP call the Michigan Senate election?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Combo
Michigan Senate winner?

Abdul El-Sayed

Odds
82% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
El-Sayed
Nov 3 ·D +4.7margin forecast
Rogers
$31,724,458 vol
Race Intel

Michigan Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentGary Peters (D)Not seeking re-election

Michigan Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Abdul El-SayedD50.0%
    50.0%
    $14.5M
    29%
    $14.5M raised·29% small donors
  • Mike RogersR45.0%
    45.0%
    $20.5M
    20%
    $20.5M raised·20% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Michigan Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +1.4%2020D +2.8%

More Michigan and 2026 Midterm Races

More Michigan races

Michigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesMI-07 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 Senate forecast

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